Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions

Yulia Kotlova; Natalia Leonova; Natalia Aleksandrenko

doi:10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513

VAK Russia 5.2.6 UDC 338.43 UDC 332.1

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ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL OF THE AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX IN A BORDER REGION: DIAGNOSTICS AND SUBSTANTIATION OF MANAGEMENT DECISIONS Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions

АА Аа

Published in INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL · Issue 4 · Pages 513–518 · Rubric: State regulation and regional development APK

DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513

Received: 06.04.2026 Accepted: 13.05.2026 Published: 15.08.2026

Authors

Yulia Kotlova

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Natalia Leonova

ORCID ResearcherID SPIN

Natalia Aleksandrenko

ORCID SPIN

Yulia Kotlova

Academic degree: doctor of economic sciences

Science rang: docent

Pacific National University professor of the higher school of economics · Russian Federation · Khabarovsk

ORCID Scopus ResearcherID SPIN

Natalia Leonova

Academic degree: candidate of economic sciences

Science rang: docent

Pacific National University associate professor of the higher school of economics · Russian Federation · Khabarovsk

ORCID ResearcherID SPIN

Natalia Aleksandrenko

Pacific National University master student of the higher school of economics · Russian Federation · Khabarovsk

ORCID SPIN

ABSTRACT

The article examines methodological approaches to assessing the economic potential of the agro-industrial complex in the context of border regions of the Russian Federation. The necessity of updating existing methods to account for the specific characteristics of border territories is substantiated. The theoretical framework of the study is based on an analysis of scientific publications in the fields of regional economics and industry development management. The empirical part is based on data from Khabarovsk Krai as a typical border region of the Far Eastern Federal District, using statistical data for the period 2014-2025. The research methodology includes regression modeling and machine learning methods implemented in the Rstudio environment. The content of the concept "agro-industrial complex potential of a border region" is clarified, encompassing resource, scientific-technical, investment, economic, and digital components. The conducted diagnostics revealed a high degree of linear relationship between the gross regional product and the development indicators of the agro-industrial complex (multiple R=0.99, R²=0.98), with the volume of agricultural output exerting the most significant influence. The study identified systemic challenges constraining the development of the agricultural sector in border territories: reduced technical capacity (a 71% decrease in the number of tractors), investment deficit (lack of investment in fixed capital in 2020-2025), climatic constraints, import dependence, insufficient development of land reclamation, withdrawal of land from agricultural use, including due to the lack of up-to-date information on land owners. The results can be applied by public authorities in the development of regional agricultural development programs and in substantiating management decisions aimed at increasing the contribution of the agricultural sector to the economy of border regions and fostering a favorable business climate.

KEYWORDS

agro-industrial complex, border region, diagnostics, economic potential, management methodology, gross regional product, business climate, Khabarovsk Krai, machine learning methods

Funding

The research was funded through a competition for the implementation of expert analytical work in order to implement the development program of the Pacific National University.

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Editor-in-Chief

Aleksandr Fomin

Deputy Editor-in-Chief

Tat'yana V. Kazennova

Responsible Secretary

Irina Mamontova

Issue Editor

Gilyana Yakushkina

Literary Editor

Marina G. Fomina

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GOST

Kotlova Y. A., Leonova N. G., Aleksandrenko N. D. Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions // INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL. 2026. no. 4. pp. 513-518. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513. (Date of access 20.09.2026).

MLA

Yulia Kotlova, Leonova N. G., Aleksandrenko N. D.. "Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions." INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL.4 (2026): 513-518. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513.

APA

Kotlova Y. A., Leonova N. G., Aleksandrenko N. D. (2026). Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions. INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL(4), 513-518. https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513

Chicago

Yulia Kotlova, Leonova N. G., Aleksandrenko N. D.. "Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions." INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL, no. 4 (2026): 513-518. https://doi.org/10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513.

WIKI

{{cite journal | author = Kotlova Y. A., Leonova N. G., Aleksandrenko N. D. | title = Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions | journal = INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL | year = 2026 | issue = 4 | pages = 513-518 | doi = 10.55186/25876740_2026_69_4_513 }}

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ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL OF THE AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX IN A BORDER REGION: DIAGNOSTICS AND SUBSTANTIATION OF MANAGEMENT DECISIONS Assessment of the potential of the agro-industrial complex in a border region: diagnostics and substantiation of management decisions

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