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\"image_pdf\"<\/a>\"image_print\"<\/a><\/div>

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PDF-\u0444\u0430\u0439\u043b \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0438<\/a><\/p>\n

Original article<\/p>\n

\u041d\u0430\u0443\u0447\u043d\u0430\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c\u044f<\/p>\n

\u0423\u0414\u041a 330<\/p>\n

doi: 10.55186\/2413046X_2022_7_12_731<\/p>\n

FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS OF THE P\/E MULTIPLIER AND THEIR USE IN SEARCH FOR UNDERVALUED ASSETS<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u0424\u0423\u041d\u0414\u0410\u041c\u0415\u041d\u0422\u0410\u041b\u042c\u041d\u042b\u0415 \u0424\u0410\u041a\u0422\u041e\u0420\u042b \u041c\u0423\u041b\u042c\u0422\u0418\u041f\u041b\u0418\u041a\u0410\u0422\u041e\u0420\u0410 P\/E \u0418 \u0418\u0425 \u0418\u0421\u041f\u041e\u041b\u042c\u0417\u041e\u0412\u0410\u041d\u0418\u0415 \u0412 \u041f\u041e\u0418\u0421\u041a\u0415 \u041d\u0415\u0414\u041e\u041e\u0426\u0415\u041d\u0415\u041d\u041d\u042b\u0425 \u0410\u041a\u0422\u0418\u0412\u041e\u0412<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kolyeva Natalya<\/strong>, PhD, Candidate of Pedagogical Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department of Information Technologies and Statistics, Ural State University of Economics, nkoleva@mail.ru<\/p>\n

Gorodnichev Viktor<\/strong>, Senior Lecturer, Department of Information Technologies and Statistics, Ural State University of Economics<\/p>\n

Panova Marina<\/strong>, Senior Lecturer, Department of Information Technologies and Statistics, Ural State University of Economics<\/p>\n

\u041a\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0435\u0432\u0430 \u041d\u0430\u0442\u0430\u043b\u044c\u044f<\/strong>, \u0434\u043e\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440, \u043a\u0430\u043d\u0434\u0438\u0434\u0430\u0442 \u043f\u0435\u0434\u0430\u0433\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043d\u0430\u0443\u043a, \u0434\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0442 \u043a\u0430\u0444\u0435\u0434\u0440\u044b \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0439 \u0438 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438, \u0423\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442, nkoleva@mail.ru<\/p>\n

\u0413\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0432 \u0412\u0438\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440<\/strong>, \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0448\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c \u043a\u0430\u0444\u0435\u0434\u0440\u044b \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0439 \u0438 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438, \u0423\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442<\/p>\n

\u041f\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u041c\u0430\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0430<\/strong>, \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0440\u0448\u0438\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u0435\u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c \u043a\u0430\u0444\u0435\u0434\u0440\u044b \u0438\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0439 \u0438 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438, \u0423\u0440\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0433\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0434\u0430\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442<\/p>\n

Abstract. <\/strong>This article discusses the process of selecting, creating and constructing independent variables for the specification of models for predicting the fair value of stock multiples. The successful application of such methods can be used to identify both undervalued and overvalued stock market assets. The main factors that determine the value of the price\/earnings ratio are formed and serve as the basis for creating investment strategies that claim to systematically extract positive excess returns. The process of searching for undervalued assets is demonstrated on the example of the Russian stock market. This, in turn, may entail the creation of completely new methods, principles and approaches to management in order to maximize its intrinsic value.<\/p>\n

\u0410\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f<\/strong>. \u0412 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0441\u0441\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441 \u043e\u0442\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0430, \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438 \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0443\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u043d\u0435\u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438\u043c\u044b\u0445 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0441\u043f\u0435\u0446\u0438\u0444\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0441\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0434\u043b\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0444\u043e\u043d\u0434\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0438\u043f\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432. \u0423\u0441\u043f\u0435\u0448\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0438\u0444\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u043a\u0430\u043a \u043d\u0435\u0434\u043e\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445, \u0442\u0430\u043a \u0438 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0432 \u0444\u043e\u043d\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0430. \u0421\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u044b \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b, \u043e\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u044f\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0447\u0438\u043d\u0443 \u0441\u043e\u043e\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\/\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0431\u044b\u043b\u044c \u0438 \u0441\u043b\u0443\u0436\u0430\u0442 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u044f \u0438\u043d\u0432\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0433\u0438\u0439, \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0443\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0445 \u043d\u0430 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u0438\u0437\u0432\u043b\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0436\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0445\u0434\u043e\u0445\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438. \u0414\u0435\u043c\u043e\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0440\u0443\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441 \u043f\u043e\u0438\u0441\u043a\u0430 \u043d\u0435\u0434\u043e\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u0435 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0444\u043e\u043d\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043a\u0430. \u042d\u0442\u043e, \u0432 \u0441\u0432\u043e\u044e \u043e\u0447\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u044c, \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u0442 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u043b\u0435\u0447\u044c \u0437\u0430 \u0441\u043e\u0431\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u043e\u0437\u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e \u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432, \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043d\u0446\u0438\u043f\u043e\u0432 \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0445\u043e\u0434\u043e\u0432 \u043a \u0443\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044e \u0441 \u0446\u0435\u043b\u044c\u044e \u043c\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u043c\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0435\u0435 \u0432\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u0435\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u043e\u0438\u043c\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0438.<\/p>\n

Keywords: <\/strong>asset valuation, relative valuation, multiples, P\/E, price\/earnings, stock market, securities market<\/p>\n

\u041a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430: <\/strong>\u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u043a\u0430 \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0432, \u043e\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0430\u044f \u043e\u0446\u0435\u043d\u043a\u0430, \u043c\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0438\u043f\u043b\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b, P\/E, \u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\/\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0431\u044b\u043b\u044c, \u0444\u043e\u043d\u0434\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043e\u043a, \u0440\u044b\u043d\u043e\u043a \u0446\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0431\u0443\u043c\u0430\u0433<\/p>\n

Fundamental PE <\/em>Multiplier Factors<\/strong><\/p>\n

Consider the main factors that determine one or another value of the coefficient PE<\/em>. In order to show that the use of multipliers is inextricably linked with the method of discounting cash flows, we also formulate the definition of the multiplier PE<\/em> [1-4]:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Also, using the simplest model of discounting dividends, we write down the value of the stock at time t = <\/em>0:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Where,<\/p>\n

DPS1<\/sub> \u2013 expected next year dividend;<\/p>\n

r\u0432<\/sub> \u2013 cost of equity;<\/p>\n

gn<\/sub> \u2013 stable dividend growth rate.<\/p>\n

Divide both sides of the equation by earnings per share[1]<\/a>:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Thus[2]<\/a>, the PE <\/em>multiplier is a function of the dividend payout ratio, the cost of equity and the growth rate of earnings per share:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Fix the main observations obtained during the analysis:<\/p>\n