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<\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n\u0423\u0414\u041a 338<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n DOI 10.24411\/2413-046\u0425-2019-10215<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0417\u0410\u0412\u0418\u0421\u0418\u041c\u041e\u0421\u0422\u042c \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0422\u0410 \u0412\u0412\u041f \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0421\u0418\u0419\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0419 \u0424\u0415\u0414\u0415\u0420\u0410\u0426\u0418\u0418 \u041e\u0422 \u0412\u041b\u0418\u042f\u041d\u0418\u042f \u0426\u0418\u0424\u0420\u041e\u0412\u041e\u0419 \u042d\u041a\u041e\u041d\u041e\u041c\u0418\u041a\u0418<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n DEPENDENCE OF GDP GROWTH OF THE RUSSIAN\nFEDERATION ON THE INFLUENCE OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0410.\u041e. \u041a\u0440\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0448\u0435\u0435\u0432\u0430, <\/strong>\u0424\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439\n\u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u0438 \u041f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u0424\u0435\u0434\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438, \u0424\u0430\u043a\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u041c\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0443\u043d\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044b\u0445\n\u0424\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u041d\u0430\u0443\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0440\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c: \u0434\u043e\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445\n\u043d\u0430\u0443\u043a, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0444\u0435\u0441\u0441\u043e\u0440 \u0422\u0440\u0435\u0433\u0443\u0431 \u0418. \u0412.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0410\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f:\n<\/strong>\u0421\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435\n\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441\u044b, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u0432 \u043c\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u043e\u0442\u0447\u0435\u0442\u043b\u0438\u0432\u043e \u0443\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044b\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u0442\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u043a\n\u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441\u043e\u0432. \u0421\u0440\u0430\u0432\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0430\u044f \u0440\u0430\u0437\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u044b \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u043e \u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u0442\u0438\u0442\u044c, \u0447\u0442\u043e \u043d\u0435 \u0432\u043e \u0432\u0441\u0435\u043c\n\u043c\u0438\u0440\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0435 \u0434\u0432\u0438\u0436\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0435\u0434\u0438\u043d\u044b\u043c \u0442\u0435\u043c\u043f\u043e\u043c. \u041a\u0440\u043e\u043c\u0435 \u044d\u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e, \u043e\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c \u0432\u0430\u0436\u043d\u044b\u043c \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c \u0438\n\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0438\u0444\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044f \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u044f \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u044b \u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0435\u0442\u0441\u044f \u0435\u0435 \u0412\u0412\u041f. \u0412 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0439 \u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u044c\u0435\n\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0437\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0441\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0441\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0435 \u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0445 \u0442\u0435\u0445\u043d\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0433\u0438\u0439 \u0432 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0438,\n\u0432\u044b\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u044b \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440\u044b \u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u0432\u043b\u0438\u044f\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0430 \u0412\u0412\u041f \u0438 \u043d\u0430 \u0438\u0445 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u043e\u0441\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\n\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0440\u0435\u043b\u044f\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0437. \u0418 \u0432\u044b\u044f\u0432\u043b\u0435\u043d\u044b \u043a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u044b, \u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u044b\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u0443\u0449\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0435\n\u0432\u043b\u0438\u044f\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043d\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0438.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Summary:\n<\/strong>Modern processes taking place in the world economy clearly indicate\ntrends towards digitalization of processes. Comparing different countries, it\ncan be noted that development is not moving at the same pace all over the\nworld. In addition, a very important factor and identifier of the level of\ndevelopment of the country is its GDP. This article analyzes the current state\nof the development of digital technologies in Russia, identifies the factors of\ndigitalization affecting GDP and on their basis carried out a correlation\nanalysis. And identified key changes that have a significant impact on the\ngrowth of the Russianeconomy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u041a\u043b\u044e\u0447\u0435\u0432\u044b\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430:<\/strong> \u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u044f \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430, \u0412\u0412\u041f,\n\u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442, \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0446\u0438\u0444\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0437\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438, \u041d\u0418\u041e\u041a\u0420, \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442 \u0412\u0412\u041f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Keywords:<\/strong> digital economy,\nGDP, economic growth, digitalization variables, R & d, GDP growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Currently, the Russian Federation faces\nthe global challenge of moving from a commodity economy to digitalization. As\nthe results of other leading countries (such as the USA, Singapore and Israel)\nshow the development of the digital economy has a positive effect on the level\nof GDP. For the development of the economy in the digital age a very large\nnumber of factors are taken into account. For example, this is human capital,\nthe level of education, the regulatory framework, and so on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to experts at McKinsey, by\n2025, GDP in Russia is expected to grow by 4.1\u20138.9 trillion rubles. Such growth\ncan only be through digitalization. And the experience of other countries illustrates\nthat it is the truth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Digitalization will provide from 19 to\n34% of Russia’s GDP growth, and the share of the digital economy itself can be\n8-10% in GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To analyze the current situation we need to pay attention on figures on 2015-2018 years: The country’s GDP from 2013 to 2018 increased by 7%, and the digital economy over the same period increased by 59%, to 1.2 trillion rubles. Thus, over these five years, the digital economy accounted for 24% of total GDP growth. The growth is represented on diagram below:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Next, I need to provide a more detailed description of what areas are included in the economy and allow you to measure it in numerical terms. The graph below illustrates Russia’s lagging behind the European Union in these key parameters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As you can see there are no parameters where the Russian Federation has the leading position. So, the goal for the medium term (2020-2025) should be the tripling of the digital economy. In addition, such a goal can be achieved if the state plays ahead of the curve, which means quickly adapting and implementing technological achievements. In particular, the role of the state in promoting innovation, the extensive development of digital public services, co-financing promising projects (through public procurement) and increasing digital literacy of the population. In addition, the issue of training \u201cdigital\u201d personnel is acute. For our country, it is a key but difficult goal. We have a big gap in comparison with other countries. In this graph, you can see the level of development of digital economy of different countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we can see from tables, Russia\ntakes only the 40th<\/sup> place, which represents the gap between leading\ncountries and Russian Federation. We need to increase the speed of our\ndevelopment to fulfill the gap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To achieve this goal we need to increase the number of\nprojects in R&D because it is possible to create good Russian innovative\nproducts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Since R&D costs are necessary in a short time and in\nlarge volumes, the state is the main investor in this area. If we talk about\nRussia, then R&D is supported in the majority by the state and is\ncontrolled. In general, R&D is a set of activities aimed at the creation,\nproduction and final receipt of a new, competitive product. In the period of\naggravation of political conflicts and the introduction of complete import\nsubstitution processes, the creation of innovative domestic products is\nnecessary as soon as possible. In relation to GDP growth, many different\nindicators can be applied. But since current trends suggest that the\ndigitalization of the economy leads to a significant increase in GDP, we will\ntake exactly this factor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The problems that are presented in the Russian economy\nare diverse. But one of the most important is the separation from world leaders\nin the development of innovative processes in the economy. Also, the problem of\nincreasing GDP is no less relevant. The necessity of independence, the\ndevelopment of the army and import substitution also all affect Russian\neconomy. Experts estimates various factors that affect GDP. But the most\nattractive for them is digitalization and innovation at all stages of product\ncreation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n It is very important to identify the problem that will be solved using econometric analysis. Since the choice of variables strongly depends on this. We know that in Russian Federation R&D projects depend on the budget. And, if we want to increase the level of digitalization we need to invest money in R&D. But, it is necessary to be sure that investments will show good results on the economy, and particularly in GDP numbers. Because nowadays in Russian Federation experts have different points of view. The first part supports investment in R&D projects and believe in future increase of GDP. Another part assumes uselessness of these projects, innovation economy and e.t.c. So, to poof the dependence we need to find the correlation and present our results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To assess\nthe impact of digitalization on GDP, it is necessary to take into account not\nonly the numerical manifestations, but also to introduce the criterias of the\npresence of technology. So, in order to prove the relationship between GDP and\ndigitalization, I choose the following Endogenous\nvariables:<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1) domestic current expenditure on\nR&D at actual prices, mln rubles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 2) average annual number of\nemployees in the Russian Federation by type of economic activity, namely in\nresearch and development, thousand people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3) Number of developed advanced\nproduction technologies new for Russia<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4) Number of personal computers<\/p>\n\n\n\n 5) The cost of information and\ncommunication technology<\/p>\n\n\n\n The time series data was taken from\nBloomberg financial laboratory for the period 2000-2018, also from Russian\nStatistical data and from the statistical research on new technologies in\nRussia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n To analyse the dependence of GDP (bil. rub) on internal current expenditures on research and development (R&D) (million rub), the average annual number of people employed in the Russian Federation by type of economic activity, namely in research and development (thousand people) a sample of n = 18 was selected for the period 2000 to 2018, the results of which are shown in the table. So, we can construct correlation analysis table for these variables that will show us correlation between them. However, before it is better to illustrate diagrams, which represents the correlation between the most correlated variables: <\/p>\n\n\n\n These scatter-plots illustrates positive correlation because pots are located nearby increasing line, with the increase of internal current expenditures GDP growths and increase too. We can explain in by the results of R&D activity which are implemented in process of production and helps to decrease costs and expand profit which reflect on GDP growth of country. Computers affect on speed of sales and it also increases GDP. So, it is important to mention that this is seems like strong correlation in both cases. All other scatter plots will be added on notes. Then we need to find pair correlation and by the Excel function we get the following Matrix:<\/p>\n\n\n\n All correlation coefficients for\nall pair are more than 0,8 so we can conclude that there are strong\ncorrelation. But, the dependence between GDP and The average number of people\nemployed in R&D in the Russian Federation are strong negative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n All variables are important for GDP and\ninfluence a lot on it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n After\nselecting the variables and analyzing them, we can draw the following\nconclusions: there is a large correlation between all the variables. All this\nsuggests that digitalization still has a great impact on GDP. As we can see the\nhighest levels of impact are connected with current expenditures on R&D. <\/p>\n\n\n\n All in all, as my research were conducted to analyze and find out the\nmost important factors of digitalization I can conclude that in my work I\nproved the dependence of GDP of digitalization in different types. The most\nimportant factor is R&D projects, while others has also high correlation\nand it means that they are also important for GDP. So, we can conclude that\ninvestments in R&D projects are useful and profitable in the future. It is\npossible to increase Russians GDP by digital economy as I assumed in the first\npart of my work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n References<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0423\u0414\u041a 338 DOI 10.24411\/2413-046\u0425-2019-10215 \u0417\u0410\u0412\u0418\u0421\u0418\u041c\u041e\u0421\u0422\u042c \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0422\u0410 \u0412\u0412\u041f \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0421\u0418\u0419\u0421\u041a\u041e\u0419 \u0424\u0415\u0414\u0415\u0420\u0410\u0426\u0418\u0418 \u041e\u0422 \u0412\u041b\u0418\u042f\u041d\u0418\u042f \u0426\u0418\u0424\u0420\u041e\u0412\u041e\u0419 \u042d\u041a\u041e\u041d\u041e\u041c\u0418\u041a\u0418 DEPENDENCE OF GDP GROWTH OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION ON THE INFLUENCE OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY \u0410.\u041e. \u041a\u0440\u0438\u0432\u043e\u0448\u0435\u0435\u0432\u0430, \u0424\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u0438 \u041f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0442\u0432\u0435 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441\u0438\u0439\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0439 \u0424\u0435\u0434\u0435\u0440\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438, \u0424\u0430\u043a\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0442\u0435\u0442 \u041c\u0435\u0436\u0434\u0443\u043d\u0430\u0440\u043e\u0434\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0424\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043e\u0432 \u041d\u0430\u0443\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0440\u0443\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c: \u0434\u043e\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043d\u0430\u0443\u043a, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0444\u0435\u0441\u0441\u043e\u0440 \u0422\u0440\u0435\u0433\u0443\u0431 \u0418. \u0412. \u0410\u043d\u043d\u043e\u0442\u0430\u0446\u0438\u044f: \u0421\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441\u0441\u044b, \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0438\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u044f\u0449\u0438\u0435 \u0432 \u043c\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0439 \u044d\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0435 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[107],"tags":[173],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7IyHt-3s4","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13272"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13272"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13272\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13278,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13272\/revisions\/13278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"\"](\"https:\/\/qje.su\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Bezymyannyj-89.png\")
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